Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Felice Herrig won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 2, 2017·Detroit, Michigan, USA, USA
Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsCortney Casey: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Felice Herrig wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Felice Herrig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Felice Herrig
Red Corner
VS
Cortney Casey
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
41
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Jun 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricCortney Casey
3.84
Strikes / min
4.29
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.00
48%
Strike defense
55%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
0.39
75%
Takedown defense
39%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felice HerrigCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.8-45.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-43.043.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15