Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Felice Herrig won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsKailin Curran: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Felice Herrig wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Felice Herrig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kailin Curran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig threatens submissions; Kailin Curran has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Felice Herrig
Red Corner
VS
Kailin Curran
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
41
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Kailin CurranL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alex Chambers · May 15W
vs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15L
vs Jamie Moyle · Dec 16L
vs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17L
vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricKailin Curran
3.84
Strikes / min
3.89
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.75
48%
Strike defense
53%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
2.00
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felice HerrigKailin Curran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Kailin Curran(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.3-15.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+236.0-236.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Kailin Curran
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7