Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Felice Herrig wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Felice Herrig
Red Corner
VS
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
41
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Jun 17W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricKarolina Kowalkiewicz
3.84
Strikes / min
5.54
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
5.77
48%
Strike defense
56%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
0.36
75%
Takedown defense
74%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felice HerrigKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.2-35.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+357.0-357.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.32.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19