Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Felice Herrig won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Friday, December 12, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsLisa Ellis: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Felice Herrig wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Felice Herrig wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig threatens submissions; Lisa Ellis has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Felice Herrig has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Felice Herrig
Red Corner
VS
Lisa Ellis
Blue Corner
-345
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
41
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Lisa Ellis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Bec Rawlings · May 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricLisa Ellis
3.84
Strikes / min
1.68
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
48%
Strike defense
57%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
4.19
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Lisa Ellis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Lisa Ellis
Stance—
Height64.0"
Reach—
Fights2