Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Paige VanZant won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 18, 2015·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupFelice Herrig: Well-roundedvsPaige VanZant: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Felice Herrig wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Paige VanZant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig threatens submissions; Paige VanZant has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Felice Herrig has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Felice Herrig has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Felice Herrig
Red Corner
VS
Paige VanZant
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
41
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Paige VanZant
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricPaige VanZant
3.84
Strikes / min
3.35
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
48%
Strike defense
42%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
1.27
75%
Takedown defense
34%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.35Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felice HerrigPaige VanZant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Paige VanZant(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-20.020.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10
Paige VanZant
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights9