Women's Featherweight
3 Rounds
Felicia Spencer won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 29, 2020·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Felicia Spencer wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Felicia Spencer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zarah Fairn enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Zarah Fairn has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Zarah Fairn has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Felicia Spencer
Red Corner
VS
Zarah Fairn
Blue Corner
-870
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+585
(15%)
35
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felicia Spencer
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Megan Anderson · May 19L
vs Cris Cyborg · Jul 19L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 20L
vs Norma Dumont · May 21W
KOvs Leah Letson · Nov 21Zarah FairnL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Megan Anderson · Oct 19L
vs Josiane Nunes · Jan 23L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felicia SpencerMetricZarah Fairn
3.21
Strikes / min
4.55
4.54
Strikes absorbed / min
7.40
45%
Strike defense
45%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.00
27%
Takedown defense
60%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.33Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felicia SpencerZarah Fairn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felicia Spencer(6 fights)Zarah Fairn(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.8-18.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Felicia Spencer
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Zarah Fairn
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4