Featherweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Arantes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Felipe Arantes wins(79.9%)
Actual result: Felipe Arantes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Antonio Carvalho has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Felipe Arantes
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Carvalho
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
38
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe ArantesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15W
SUBvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 16L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 16L
vs Josh Emmett · Oct 17L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18Antonio Carvalho
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Jul 12W
vs Rodrigo Damm · Nov 12L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Mar 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe ArantesMetricAntonio Carvalho
2.37
Strikes / min
3.03
2.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
64%
Strike defense
64%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
0.00
41%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felipe ArantesAntonio Carvalho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe Arantes(10 fights)Antonio Carvalho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.016.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Felipe Arantes
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Antonio Carvalho
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4