Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Felipe Arantes won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Thursday, July 7, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Felipe Arantes wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Felipe Arantes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felipe Arantes threatens submissions; Jerrod Sanders has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Felipe Arantes has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Felipe Arantes
Red Corner
VS
Jerrod Sanders
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
38
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe ArantesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Fili · Oct 14W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 16L
vs Josh Emmett · Oct 17L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18Jerrod Sanders
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Yosdenis Cedeno · Jul 14W
vs Russell Doane · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe ArantesMetricJerrod Sanders
2.37
Strikes / min
0.88
2.66
Strikes absorbed / min
1.14
64%
Strike defense
46%
0.93
TDs / 15 min
2.20
41%
Takedown defense
50%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felipe ArantesJerrod Sanders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe Arantes(10 fights)Jerrod Sanders(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.0-17.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Felipe Arantes
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11
Jerrod Sanders
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3