Flyweight
3 Rounds
Andre Lima won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Andre Lima wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Andre Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Lima enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Andre Lima has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andre Lima has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Felipe dos Santos
Red Corner
VS
Andre Lima
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-166
(62%)
25
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe dos Santos
oldest →latest
L
vs Manel Kape · Sep 23W
vs Victor Altamirano · Feb 24L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Mar 25Andre LimaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Igor Severino · Mar 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Jun 24W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe dos SantosMetricAndre Lima
3.75
Strikes / min
4.06
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.49
41%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.36
20%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Felipe dos SantosAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)Andre Lima(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.629.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Felipe dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Andre Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4