Featherweight
3 Rounds
Fernando Padilla won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFernando Padilla: Pressure fightervsLuis Pajuelo: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Fernando Padilla wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Fernando Padilla wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernando Padilla has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Fernando Padilla has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Fernando Padilla
Red Corner
VS
Luis Pajuelo
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
29
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fernando PadillaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 23L
vs Kyle Nelson · Sep 23L
KOvs Sean Woodson · Dec 24Luis PajueloNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fernando PadillaMetricLuis Pajuelo
6.07
Strikes / min
6.03
5.74
Strikes absorbed / min
8.20
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33Δ 2.50 — meaningful gap-2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fernando PadillaLuis Pajuelo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fernando Padilla(4 fights)Luis Pajuelo(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.51.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Fernando Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4
Luis Pajuelo
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights1