Featherweight
3 Rounds
Hyder Amil won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 10, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Fernie Garcia wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Hyder Amil wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fernie Garcia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hyder Amil has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hyder Amil (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Fernie Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Hyder Amil
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fernie GarciaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Journey Newson · May 22L
vs Brady Hiestand · Nov 22L
vs Rinya Nakamura · Aug 23Hyder AmilL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24W
vs William Gomis · Mar 25L
KOvs Jose Delgado · Jun 25L
vs Jamall Emmers · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fernie GarciaMetricHyder Amil
2.04
Strikes / min
5.81
3.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
48%
Strike defense
51%
0.28
TDs / 15 min
0.56
50%
Takedown defense
65%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.75Δ 3.61 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fernie GarciaHyder Amil
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fernie Garcia(4 fights)Hyder Amil(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-46.446.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Fernie Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4
Hyder Amil
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5