Colby ThicknessevsJosias Musasa

UFC Event · Saturday, September 27, 2025 · Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia

Model Prediction: Colby Thicknesse wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Colby Thicknesse wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Colby Thicknesse

Red Corner

Josias Musasa

Blue Corner

+134

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-158

(61%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.3

Sig. Strikes

3.2

1.0

Takedowns

0.9

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+0.7-0.7

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+35.0-35.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.0-0.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

0.00.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Colby Thicknesse

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2

Josias Musasa

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights2