Welterweight
3 Rounds
Daniel Roberts won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 3, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Forrest Petz wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Daniel Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Forrest Petz has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Forrest Petz has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Forrest Petz
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Roberts
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
50
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Forrest Petz
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Foster · Sep 10Daniel RobertsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10W
SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11L
vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11L
vs Rich Attonito · Jun 11L
vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Forrest PetzMetricDaniel Roberts
2.27
Strikes / min
0.73
2.20
Strikes absorbed / min
2.27
57%
Strike defense
46%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
2.46
66%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.07Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-1.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Forrest PetzDaniel Roberts
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Forrest Petz(2 fights)Daniel Roberts(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Forrest Petz
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Daniel Roberts
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7