Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Francimar Barroso won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 17, 2016·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupFrancimar Barroso: WrestlervsElvis Mutapcic: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Francimar Barroso wins(68.0%)
Actual result: Francimar Barroso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francimar Barroso has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Francimar Barroso
Red Corner
VS
Elvis Mutapcic
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
46
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francimar BarrosoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Jimmo · May 15L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16W
vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17L
vs Gian Villante · Jan 18Elvis Mutapcic
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francimar BarrosoMetricElvis Mutapcic
2.77
Strikes / min
3.41
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
59%
Strike defense
38%
2.22
TDs / 15 min
0.00
83%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francimar BarrosoElvis Mutapcic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francimar Barroso(8 fights)Elvis Mutapcic(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Francimar Barroso
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8
Elvis Mutapcic
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2