Middleweight
3 Rounds
Francis Carmont won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 20, 2013·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Francis Carmont wins(67.2%)
Actual result: Francis Carmont wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Carmont
Red Corner
VS
Lorenz Larkin
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
198.12 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tom Lawlor · Nov 12W
vs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
vs CB Dollaway · May 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis CarmontMetricLorenz Larkin
2.22
Strikes / min
3.53
1.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.74
59%
Strike defense
63%
1.79
TDs / 15 min
0.27
73%
Takedown defense
79%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis CarmontLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Carmont(9 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.4-69.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Francis Carmont
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Lorenz Larkin
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10