Middleweight
3 Rounds
Francis Carmont won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2012·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Model Prediction: Magnus Cedenblad wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Francis Carmont wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Carmont
Red Corner
VS
Magnus Cedenblad
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Apr 13W
vs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
vs CB Dollaway · May 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14Magnus Cedenblad
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jared Hamman · Aug 13W
SUBvs Krzysztof Jotko · May 14W
vs Scott Askham · Oct 14W
KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16L
KOvs Jack Marshman · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis CarmontMetricMagnus Cedenblad
2.22
Strikes / min
2.38
1.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
59%
Strike defense
40%
1.79
TDs / 15 min
2.87
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis CarmontMagnus Cedenblad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Carmont(9 fights)Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Francis Carmont
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Magnus Cedenblad
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6