Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thales Leites won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2014·Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Thales Leites wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Thales Leites wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Carmont has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Carmont
Red Corner
VS
Thales Leites
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis CarmontL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tom Lawlor · Nov 12W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Apr 13W
vs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
vs CB Dollaway · May 14Thales Leites
oldest →latest
L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Nov 16W
vs Sam Alvey · Apr 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Oct 17L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · May 18W
vs Hector Lombard · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis CarmontMetricThales Leites
2.22
Strikes / min
2.13
1.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.79
TDs / 15 min
2.10
73%
Takedown defense
30%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.58Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis CarmontThales Leites
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Carmont(9 fights)Thales Leites(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-50.050.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Francis Carmont
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Thales Leites
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights13