Featherweight
3 Rounds
Isaac Dulgarian won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFrancis Marshall: WrestlervsIsaac Dulgarian: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Isaac Dulgarian wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Isaac Dulgarian wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Marshall has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Marshall has 88pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Marshall
Red Corner
VS
Isaac Dulgarian
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
27
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis Marshall
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcelo Rojo · Dec 22L
vs William Gomis · Apr 23W
vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 24L
vs Mairon Santos · Mar 25W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26Isaac Dulgarian
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 24W
SUBvs Brendon Marotte · Sep 24L
SUBvs Yadier del Valle · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis MarshallMetricIsaac Dulgarian
3.19
Strikes / min
2.99
3.45
Strikes absorbed / min
1.65
55%
Strike defense
40%
2.71
TDs / 15 min
4.57
88%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.26Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+1.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis MarshallIsaac Dulgarian
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Marshall(6 fights)Isaac Dulgarian(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.31.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Francis Marshall
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Isaac Dulgarian
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4