Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Francis Ngannou won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2022·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ciryl Gane wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ciryl Gane has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Ngannou
Red Corner
VS
Ciryl Gane
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
210.82 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Nov 18W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21Ciryl Gane
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis NgannouMetricCiryl Gane
2.33
Strikes / min
5.29
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.33
41%
Strike defense
60%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.68
71%
Takedown defense
47%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap+2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis NgannouCiryl Gane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Ngannou(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.0-24.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14
Ciryl Gane
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights13