Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Francis Ngannou won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, April 10, 2016·Zagreb, Croatia, Croatia
Model Prediction: Francis Ngannou wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Francis Ngannou is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Curtis Blaydes has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Ngannou
Red Corner
VS
Curtis Blaydes
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
210.82 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21W
vs Ciryl Gane · Jan 22Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis NgannouMetricCurtis Blaydes
2.33
Strikes / min
4.18
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
41%
Strike defense
53%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
5.12
71%
Takedown defense
35%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis NgannouCurtis Blaydes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Ngannou(10 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19