Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Francis Ngannou won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jairzinho Rozenstruik wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Ngannou
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
210.82 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Nov 18W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21W
vs Ciryl Gane · Jan 22Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis NgannouMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
2.33
Strikes / min
3.48
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
41%
Strike defense
52%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.00
71%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis NgannouJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Ngannou(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.7-39.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+161.0-161.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15