Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Francis Ngannou won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 29, 2019·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Francis Ngannou wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Ngannou is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francis Ngannou
Red Corner
VS
Junior Dos Santos
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
210.82 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Nov 18W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21W
vs Ciryl Gane · Jan 22Junior Dos SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 18W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis NgannouMetricJunior Dos Santos
2.33
Strikes / min
4.49
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
41%
Strike defense
56%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.30
71%
Takedown defense
81%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francis NgannouJunior Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Ngannou(10 fights)Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.98.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+20.0-20.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14
Junior Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19