Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Figueiredo threatens submissions; Jerome Rivera has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Jerome Rivera has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Figueiredo
oldest →L
vs Malcolm Gordon · Jul 21W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Apr 22L
SUBvs Amir Albazi · Aug 22 Jerome RiveraL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco FigueiredoMetricJerome Rivera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco FigueiredoJerome Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Figueiredo(4 fights)Jerome Rivera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.5|Blue -93.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco FigueiredoTargetJerome Rivera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Francisco Figueiredo rounds
Round 1Francisco Figueiredo edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control2:21
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Francisco Figueiredo edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:49
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 3Francisco Figueiredo edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control1:57
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
