Flyweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Figueiredo won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupFrancisco Figueiredo: WrestlervsJerome Rivera: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Francisco Figueiredo wins(80.4%)
Actual result: Francisco Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Figueiredo threatens submissions; Jerome Rivera has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Figueiredo has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Jerome Rivera has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Figueiredo
Red Corner
VS
Jerome Rivera
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
36
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Figueiredo
oldest →latest
L
vs Malcolm Gordon · Jul 21W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Apr 22L
SUBvs Amir Albazi · Aug 22Jerome RiveraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tyson Nam · Sep 20L
SUBvs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco FigueiredoMetricJerome Rivera
2.04
Strikes / min
3.21
2.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.60
61%
Strike defense
51%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.00
76%
Takedown defense
40%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco FigueiredoJerome Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Figueiredo(4 fights)Jerome Rivera(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.6-16.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Francisco Figueiredo
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4
Jerome Rivera
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3