Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nikolay Veretennikov won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Francisco Prado wins(54.6%)
Actual result: Nikolay Veretennikov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nikolay Veretennikov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Nikolay Veretennikov has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Prado
Red Corner
VS
Nikolay Veretennikov
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
23
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
175.26 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco PradoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Feb 23W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Jul 23L
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 24L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 25Nikolay Veretennikov
oldest →latest
L
vs Danny Barlow · Aug 24L
KOvs Austin Vanderford · Feb 25L
vs Punahele Soriano · Oct 25W
KOvs Niko Price · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco PradoMetricNikolay Veretennikov
3.68
Strikes / min
2.69
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.30
54%
Strike defense
45%
0.76
TDs / 15 min
0.42
40%
Takedown defense
62%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.63evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco PradoNikolay Veretennikov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Prado(5 fights)Nikolay Veretennikov(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.9-3.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Francisco Prado
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5
Nikolay Veretennikov
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5