Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Rivera won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 6, 2015·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupFrancisco Rivera: Well-roundedvsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Francisco Rivera wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Francisco Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Rivera enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Alex Caceres
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco RiveraL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · May 14L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16L
vs Erik Perez · Jul 16Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco RiveraMetricAlex Caceres
4.07
Strikes / min
4.21
3.16
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
68%
Strike defense
62%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
0.54
68%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91evenly matched on net striking+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco RiveraAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Rivera(10 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Francisco Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29