Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Brad Pickett won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 27, 2016·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupFrancisco Rivera: Well-roundedvsBrad Pickett: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Francisco Rivera wins(71.7%)
Actual result: Brad Pickett wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Pickett enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Rivera has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Rivera
Red Corner
VS
Brad Pickett
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco RiveraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · May 14L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14W
KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Erik Perez · Jul 16Brad PickettL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Chico Camus · Nov 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco RiveraMetricBrad Pickett
4.07
Strikes / min
3.02
3.16
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
68%
Strike defense
55%
1.01
TDs / 15 min
2.47
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 2.52 — meaningful gap-1.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco RiveraBrad Pickett
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Rivera(10 fights)Brad Pickett(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.1-33.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Francisco Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Brad Pickett
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14