Welterweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Trinaldo won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 23, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-roundedvsDwight Grant: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dwight Grant (54.1%).
- Dwight Grant has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Trinaldo
Red Corner
VS
Dwight Grant
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
47
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
6'1"
177.8 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Mar 20W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Dwight GrantL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alan Jouban · Apr 19L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 20W
vs Stefan Sekulic · Apr 21L
KOvs Sergey Khandozhko · Apr 22L
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricDwight Grant
3.13
Strikes / min
3.29
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
60%
Strike defense
60%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.61
60%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco TrinaldoDwight Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Dwight Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+94.3-94.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Dwight Grant
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8