Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Trinaldo won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 25, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-roundedvsJai Herbert: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(77.0%)
Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- Jai Herbert has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Trinaldo
Red Corner
VS
Jai Herbert
Blue Corner
-134
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+108
(48%)
47
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'1"
177.8 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
vs John Makdessi · Mar 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Jai Herbert
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Mar 22W
vs Kyle Nelson · Jul 22L
vs Fares Ziam · Jul 23W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 24L
vs Chris Padilla · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricJai Herbert
3.13
Strikes / min
3.19
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
60%
Strike defense
52%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.42
60%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco TrinaldoJai Herbert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Jai Herbert(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+126.8-126.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.348.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Jai Herbert
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8