Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- Jai Herbert has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →W
vs John Makdessi · Mar 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 Jai Herbert
oldest →W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 24L
vs Chris Padilla · Mar 25W
KOvs Mandel Nallo · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricJai Herbert
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco TrinaldoJai Herbert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Jai Herbert(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -14.9|Blue +14.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco TrinaldoTargetJai Herbert
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control3:15
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Jai Herbert edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:37Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
