Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Trinaldo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 28, 2017·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-roundedvsJim Miller: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(68.8%)
Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Trinaldo
Red Corner
VS
Jim Miller
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
47
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Jim Miller
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jesse Butler · Jun 23W
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24L
vs King Green · Apr 24W
SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24L
vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricJim Miller
3.13
Strikes / min
2.92
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
60%
Strike defense
56%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
1.49
60%
Takedown defense
47%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco TrinaldoJim Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+66.2-66.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Jim Miller
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights39