Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Trinaldo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2020·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-roundedvsJohn Makdessi: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: John Makdessi wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Francisco Trinaldo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Francisco Trinaldo
Red Corner
VS
John Makdessi
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
47
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 18W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricJohn Makdessi
3.13
Strikes / min
5.52
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.15
60%
Strike defense
68%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
86%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Francisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.1-47.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
John Makdessi
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights20