Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Trinaldo has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
- Yancy Medeiros has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricYancy Medeiros
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.46Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +94.8|Blue -94.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -36.0|Blue +36.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco TrinaldoTargetYancy Medeiros
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:36
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns2
Control1:40
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
