Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alistair Overeem won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupFrank Mir: WrestlervsAlistair Overeem: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Alistair Overeem wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Alistair Overeem wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alistair Overeem is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Alistair Overeem has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alistair Overeem has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Frank Mir
Red Corner
VS
Alistair Overeem
Blue Corner
+375
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
46
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16Alistair Overeem
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 19W
KOvs Walt Harris · May 20W
KOvs Augusto Sakai · Sep 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Feb 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricAlistair Overeem
2.18
Strikes / min
3.67
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
38%
Strike defense
57%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
1.42
54%
Takedown defense
73%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 2.89 — meaningful gap+1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frank MirAlistair Overeem
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Alistair Overeem(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.10.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Frank Mir
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12
Alistair Overeem
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights20