Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Shane Carwin won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupFrank Mir: WrestlervsShane Carwin: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Shane Carwin wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Shane Carwin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Carwin is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Shane Carwin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Frank Mir
Red Corner
VS
Shane Carwin
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
46
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16Shane CarwinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brock Lesnar · Jul 10L
vs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricShane Carwin
2.18
Strikes / min
4.38
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
3.53
38%
Strike defense
53%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
1.42
54%
Takedown defense
42%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frank MirShane Carwin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Shane Carwin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Frank Mir
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12
Shane Carwin
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights3