Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Frank Mir won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 15, 2015·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Style matchupFrank Mir: WrestlervsTodd Duffee: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Frank Mir wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Frank Mir wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Todd Duffee is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Todd Duffee has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Todd Duffee has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Frank Mir
Red Corner
VS
Todd Duffee
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
46
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15L
KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16Todd DuffeeW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mike Russow · May 10W
KOvs Philip De Fries · Dec 12W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricTodd Duffee
2.18
Strikes / min
5.93
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
38%
Strike defense
56%
2.02
TDs / 15 min
0.72
54%
Takedown defense
90%
2.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 4.72 — meaningful gap+3.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frank MirTodd Duffee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Todd Duffee(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.026.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-78.078.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Frank Mir
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights12
Todd Duffee
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4