Featherweight
5 Rounds
Frankie Edgar won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 11, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Edgar: WrestlervsChad Mendes: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Frankie Edgar wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Frankie Edgar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chad Mendes is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Frankie Edgar has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chad Mendes has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Edgar
Red Corner
VS
Chad Mendes
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22Chad Mendes
oldest →latest
L
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 14W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricChad Mendes
3.77
Strikes / min
2.78
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.35
65%
Strike defense
67%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
4.13
65%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie EdgarChad Mendes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Chad Mendes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.48.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Frankie Edgar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Chad Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14