Lightweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Frankie Edgar won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, October 8, 2011·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Edgar: WrestlervsGray Maynard: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Frankie Edgar wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Frankie Edgar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gray Maynard has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Edgar
Red Corner
VS
Gray Maynard
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricGray Maynard
3.77
Strikes / min
1.92
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
65%
Strike defense
66%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
2.91
65%
Takedown defense
81%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie EdgarGray Maynard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Gray Maynard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.6-15.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Frankie Edgar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11