Featherweight
3 Rounds
Frankie Edgar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 12, 2016·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Edgar: WrestlervsJeremy Stephens: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Frankie Edgar wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Frankie Edgar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Edgar
Red Corner
VS
Jeremy Stephens
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Mar 19L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21L
vs Mason Jones · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricJeremy Stephens
3.77
Strikes / min
3.13
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
65%
Strike defense
57%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
1.10
65%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie EdgarJeremy Stephens
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.1-39.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-41.041.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Frankie Edgar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Jeremy Stephens
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights26