Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Vera won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 6, 2021·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Edgar: WrestlervsMarlon Vera: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Frankie Edgar wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Frankie Edgar has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Edgar
Red Corner
VS
Marlon Vera
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
44
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie EdgarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 19L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 20L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21L
KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie EdgarMetricMarlon Vera
3.77
Strikes / min
4.18
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
5.34
65%
Strike defense
50%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
0.47
65%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie EdgarMarlon Vera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Edgar(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.63.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Frankie Edgar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26