Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Augusto Mendes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 15, 2017·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Frankie Saenz wins(72.6%)
Actual result: Augusto Mendes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Augusto Mendes has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Saenz
Red Corner
VS
Augusto Mendes
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jul 16W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Augusto MendesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Feb 16L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricAugusto Mendes
3.94
Strikes / min
2.42
3.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
1.75
61%
Takedown defense
80%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie SaenzAugusto Mendes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Augusto Mendes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.8-29.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-153.0153.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.2-3.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10
Augusto Mendes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3