Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Eddie Wineland won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Saenz: Well-roundedvsEddie Wineland: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Frankie Saenz wins(74.6%)
Actual result: Eddie Wineland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Frankie Saenz has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Eddie Wineland has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Eddie Wineland has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Saenz
Red Corner
VS
Eddie Wineland
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
vs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricEddie Wineland
3.94
Strikes / min
3.40
3.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.76
52%
Strike defense
68%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.34
61%
Takedown defense
86%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie SaenzEddie Wineland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Eddie Wineland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.4-54.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10
Eddie Wineland
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16