Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Frankie Saenz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 9, 2017·Fresno, California, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Saenz: Well-roundedvsMerab Dvalishvili: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Frankie Saenz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Saenz
Red Corner
VS
Merab Dvalishvili
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
45
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jul 16L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →latest
W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25L
vs Petr Yan · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricMerab Dvalishvili
3.94
Strikes / min
4.42
3.50
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
5.97
61%
Takedown defense
76%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.12.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-46.746.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10
Merab Dvalishvili
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17