Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Frankie Saenz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 8, 2015·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupFrankie Saenz: Well-roundedvsSirwan Kakai: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Frankie Saenz wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Frankie Saenz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sirwan Kakai has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sirwan Kakai has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Frankie Saenz
Red Corner
VS
Sirwan Kakai
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
45
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Sirwan Kakai
oldest →latest
W
vs Danny Martinez · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricSirwan Kakai
3.94
Strikes / min
3.57
3.50
Strikes absorbed / min
4.63
52%
Strike defense
62%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
4.00
61%
Takedown defense
83%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.44Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-1.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Frankie SaenzSirwan Kakai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Sirwan Kakai(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+125.0-125.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10
Sirwan Kakai
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach—
Fights2