Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pablo Garza won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Pablo Garza wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Pablo Garza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fredson Paixao has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pablo Garza has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Fredson Paixao
Red Corner
VS
Pablo Garza
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
47
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'1"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fredson PaixaoNo prior UFC fights on record.
Pablo Garza
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Apr 11L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · May 12W
vs Mark Hominick · Nov 12L
SUBvs Diego Brandao · Apr 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fredson PaixaoMetricPablo Garza
1.71
Strikes / min
3.37
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
62%
Strike defense
50%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.94
10%
Takedown defense
15%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.60Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+0.67
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fredson Paixao(1 fights)Pablo Garza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Fredson Paixao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights1
Pablo Garza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6