Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gabriel Benitez won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 5, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gabriel Benitez wins(55.6%)
Actual result: Gabriel Benitez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Jaynes is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gabriel Benitez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Gabriel Benitez has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gabriel Benitez (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gabriel Benitez
Red Corner
VS
Justin Jaynes
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
37
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel BenitezL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Jul 21L
KOvs David Onama · Feb 22W
KOvs Charlie Ontiveros · Aug 22L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jan 24L
vs Maheshate · Apr 24Justin JaynesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 20L
vs Gavin Tucker · Aug 20L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel BenitezMetricJustin Jaynes
5.26
Strikes / min
3.34
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
63%
Strike defense
62%
0.22
TDs / 15 min
0.75
55%
Takedown defense
20%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 2.76 — meaningful gap-1.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gabriel BenitezJustin Jaynes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Benitez(10 fights)Justin Jaynes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.9-6.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+87.0-87.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Gabriel Benitez
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15
Justin Jaynes
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4