Welterweight
3 Rounds
Nicolas Dalby won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2023·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGabriel Bonfim: WrestlervsNicolas Dalby: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gabriel Bonfim wins(61.2%)
Actual result: Nicolas Dalby wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gabriel Bonfim has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gabriel Bonfim has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gabriel Bonfim
Red Corner
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
28
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel BonfimW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · Jul 23W
vs Ange Loosa · Jul 24W
SUBvs Khaos Williams · Feb 25W
vs Stephen Thompson · Jul 25W
KOvs Randy Brown · Nov 25Nicolas Dalby
oldest →latest
W
vs Warlley Alves · Jan 23W
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 23L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jun 24L
KOvs Randy Brown · Apr 25W
vs Saygid Izagakhmaev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel BonfimMetricNicolas Dalby
4.61
Strikes / min
3.88
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.51
63%
Strike defense
52%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
0.90
76%
Takedown defense
59%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93evenly matched on net striking+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gabriel BonfimNicolas Dalby
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Bonfim(7 fights)Nicolas Dalby(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.612.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Gabriel Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Nicolas Dalby
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14