Welterweight
5 Rounds
Gabriel Bonfim won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGabriel Bonfim: WrestlervsRandy Brown: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Randy Brown wins(53.2%)
Actual result: Gabriel Bonfim wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Bonfim enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Gabriel Bonfim has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Randy Brown has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gabriel Bonfim
Red Corner
VS
Randy Brown
Blue Corner
-164
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+138
(42%)
28
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel BonfimW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · Jul 23L
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Nov 23W
vs Ange Loosa · Jul 24W
SUBvs Khaos Williams · Feb 25W
vs Stephen Thompson · Jul 25Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jun 23W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel BonfimMetricRandy Brown
4.61
Strikes / min
4.39
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
63%
Strike defense
53%
3.60
TDs / 15 min
0.71
76%
Takedown defense
74%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.93evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gabriel BonfimRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Bonfim(7 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-53.553.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Gabriel Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21