Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gabriel Gonzaga won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Gabriel Gonzaga wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Gabriel Gonzaga wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Gonzaga threatens submissions; Ednaldo Oliveira has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Gabriel Gonzaga has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gabriel Gonzaga
Red Corner
VS
Ednaldo Oliveira
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
47
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →latest
L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
vs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16Ednaldo Oliveira
oldest →latest
L
vs Francimar Barroso · Aug 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gabriel GonzagaMetricEdnaldo Oliveira
2.12
Strikes / min
1.03
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
57%
Strike defense
52%
2.80
TDs / 15 min
0.00
66%
Takedown defense
42%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gabriel GonzagaEdnaldo Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)Ednaldo Oliveira(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-25.425.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Gabriel Gonzaga
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Ednaldo Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach—
Fights2