Middleweight
3 Rounds
Alessio Di Chirico won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 27, 2016·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Garreth McLellan wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Alessio Di Chirico wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Di Chirico is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Garreth McLellan has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alessio Di Chirico has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Garreth McLellan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Garreth McLellan
Red Corner
VS
Alessio Di Chirico
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
43
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Garreth McLellanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Apr 15W
KOvs Bubba Bush · Oct 15L
KOvs Magnus Cedenblad · May 16L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Mar 17Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19L
vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20W
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Garreth McLellanMetricAlessio Di Chirico
3.56
Strikes / min
3.32
2.94
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
45%
Strike defense
61%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
1.46
34%
Takedown defense
83%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Garreth McLellanAlessio Di Chirico
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Garreth McLellan(5 fights)Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Garreth McLellan
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Alessio Di Chirico
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11