Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Quang Le won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 3, 2025·Des Moines, Iowa, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gaston Bolanos wins(78.8%)
Actual result: Quang Le wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Quang Le enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Quang Le threatens submissions; Gaston Bolanos has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Quang Le has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gaston Bolanos
Red Corner
VS
Quang Le
Blue Corner
-126
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+108
(48%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gaston Bolanos
oldest →latest
W
vs Aaron Phillips · Apr 23L
KOvs Marcus McGhee · Jan 24W
vs Cortavious Romious · Nov 24Quang LeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Aug 24L
KOvs Xiao Long · Nov 24L
KOvs Santiago Luna · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gaston BolanosMetricQuang Le
3.28
Strikes / min
2.82
2.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
2.90
42%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.88Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gaston BolanosQuang Le
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gaston Bolanos(4 fights)Quang Le(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.5-43.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gaston Bolanos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4
Quang Le
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4