Featherweight
3 Rounds
Gavin Tucker won
UFC Event·Saturday, August 8, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gavin Tucker wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Gavin Tucker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gavin Tucker has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gavin Tucker (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gavin Tucker
Red Corner
VS
Justin Jaynes
Blue Corner
-139
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+112
(47%)
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gavin TuckerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rick Glenn · Sep 17W
vs Seungwoo Choi · Jul 19W
vs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 20L
KOvs Dan Ige · Mar 21L
SUBvs Diego Lopes · Aug 23Justin JaynesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 20L
KOvs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 20L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gavin TuckerMetricJustin Jaynes
4.29
Strikes / min
3.34
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
5.33
57%
Strike defense
62%
3.13
TDs / 15 min
0.75
53%
Takedown defense
20%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.11Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap-1.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gavin TuckerJustin Jaynes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gavin Tucker(7 fights)Justin Jaynes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.93.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+329.0-329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Gavin Tucker
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7
Justin Jaynes
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4